This presentation focuses on complex infrastructure systems (such as transportation and supply chains), intelligent risk and resilience assessments for climate change, and integrated solutions to future challenges facing our cities and society. To gain a deeper understanding of such complex systems, new mathematical approaches and computational models are needed. In order to achieve this, we have to go beyond the classical boundaries of the individual disciplines and work in an interdisciplinary team. In this sense, research on smart mobility and smart cities have been developed as new research areas.Find out more
The Institute for Risk and Uncertainty at the University of Liverpool will host this third event in our three-part Raw Milk series. These day-long events are open to the public and feature invited speakers, proffered presentations and posters, session on collaborations and proposal opportunities, and open discussion on the advantages and risks of raw milk, use and misuse of statistics, consumer protection regulations, and the challenges of balancing costs and benefits in any decision.
Humans depend on a diverse, protective microflora of bacteria. Some argue that pasteurisation of milk robs consumers of essential health benefits. Others worry that raw milk can carry disease bacteria leading to illness or even death. This event will feature open discussion on the efficacy and ethics of regulating a burgeoning industry whilst protecting public health.Find out more about the Raw Milk Series here
The University of Liverpool’s Institute for Risk and Uncertainty, in conjunction with the Adhesive Free Timber Buildings project (http://www.nweurope.eu/aftb), will host a two- or three-day study group this autumn to discuss and address emergent problems facing the timber and forestry sector. Potential topics include:
- Wind damage, fire, pests and diseases
- Material grading when wood products are reclaimed, recycled, or newly sourced
- Phytosanitation in the hyperconnected world
- Environmental impacts of forestry and wood products
These study groups bring together academia and industry providing an opportunity for structured, intense interactive sessions over three days. It allows industry to gain access to UK excellence in the fields of mathematics, statistics, engineering, and environmental science and computer science. It likewise exposes academics to practical and emergent problems of broad industrial concern.
This event is open to all interested persons, but registration is required. If you would like to suggest a question for the study group’s attention or would like more information please contact firstname.lastname@example.org.
Michael Siegrist: Professor of Consumer Behavior at ETH Zurich
Most people avoid uncertainties if possible. In many important situations, however, a decision must be made under uncertainty. Even more challenging, when it comes to controversial topics, we usually do not have frequentist information, but have to rely on experts’ assessments. Scientists know that almost all risk assessments are associated with uncertainties, while lay people may be less aware that uncertainty is an integral part of science. There is a lack of research examining how experts’ assessments should be communicated to the public so that they are correctly understood. We will show that lay people often do not expect uncertainties associated with scientific outcomes, and it is often a challenge for them do understand uncertainties. One aim of uncertainty communication may be to increase trust in the findings. Results of our experiments suggest, however, that the communication of uncertainty does not increase, but in some cases decrease trust in the outcome. Uncertainty communication may, therefore, have some unwanted side effects.
The Risk Institute is very lucky to host the next SIPTA (The Society for Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications) summer school. The school will run from Monday to Friday, 13 - 17 July 2020.
We warmly invite all the students and researchers in imprecise probability (IP) to participate. If you are new to IP and wonder what it is and whether you’re interested, here is an introduction.